Showing posts with label Time Uncertainty and Disequilibrium: Exploration of Austrian Themes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Time Uncertainty and Disequilibrium: Exploration of Austrian Themes. Show all posts

Thursday, November 29, 2018

Professor Yeager Recognizes the Misleading Use of the Comparative-Statics Method by Reswitching Theorists

In his section on the consumption paradox, Professor Yeager clearly recognizes the misleading use of the comparative-statics method by reswitching theorists. . . . Aren't the reswitching theorists really only comparing alternative steady states rather than analyzing a process of change? Yes, this seems to be it. In his own words: "References to changes in the interest rate and switches in technique serve stylistic convenience only". Recognizing that comparative-statics analysis has been dressed up in a dynamic garb, Professor Yeager blows the whistle on the Cambridge theorists.

--Roger Garrison, "Comment: Waiting in Vienna," in Time, Uncertainty, and Disequilibrium: Exploration of Austrian Themes, ed. Mario J. Rizzo (Lexington, MA: Lexington Books, 1979), 223.


Thursday, October 18, 2018

Rational Expectations Critiques of Keynesian Macromodels and Monetarist Models

Though RE [Rational Expectations] critiques have centered on Keynesian macromodels, monetarist models are also susceptible to these criticisms. An example using early formulations of the Natural Rate hypothesis illustrates both the general nature of the problem and its universality. In the past, Professor Milton Friedman and others have pictured economic agents as forming expectations adaptively, for example, forming expectations of future inflation rates on the basis of averages of past rates. As is now well known, this behavior would result in underestimation of the inflation rate when it is accelerating and overestimation when it is decelerating. Agents are thus being treated as biased or irrational in their expectations, as has been explained by Wallace.

--Gerald P. O'Driscoll Jr., "Rational Expectations, Politics, and Stagflation," in Time, Uncertainty, and Disequilibrium: Exploration of Austrian Themes, ed. Mario J. Rizzo (Lexington, MA: D.C. Heath and Company, 1979), 155-156.